Biden Vs Trump

Political
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While Joe Biden has seen a boost from Bernie Sanders dropping out of the race, his electoral chances are diminishing as Donald Trump continues to soar. After tweeting on Thursday that he would postpone the 2020 election, Trump is now just 1.5 percentage points behind Hillary Clinton in the polls. Sources: 10

Donald Trump remains the favorite to win the general election with an implicit 43.7% chance, giving him an advantage over Joe Biden, who has a 44.3% chance of victory, and an implicit 42.5% chance. This is Biden's biggest lead over Trump since we started measuring the odds after Super Tuesday. Biden is just 1.2 percentage points ahead of Trump in the latest NBC News / Wall Street Journal poll. Voters are choosing Biden because 15% of Californians don't like both candidates, while many voters who say they donate like both candidates don't like the candidate they're voting for Trump. Sources: 0, 6, 10

Some say they will be relieved if Biden is elected in 2020, compared with 61% of Trump supporters, but that's down from 72% in the latest NBC / Wall Street Journal poll. Sources: 9

Slightly more voters also say a Trump victory would upset them than a Biden victory. A President Biden will be more vulnerable to progressive pressure, and the election of Biden is a strategic step in that direction. The mainstream Democrats have said to themselves that they want that much, but they haven't told us yet whether they want it. Sources: 7, 9

Nearly twice as many voters say they would be angry if Trump were re-elected as if Biden had been elected president. Of the voters who said they cast a ballot, more said they would support Biden if the election were held today than for anyone else, including Gary Johnson or Jill Stein. The possibility of Trump being re-elected would cause more anger among Biden's supporters today than it would if Trump were elected. Sources: 9

In response to their own candidate's victory, Biden's supporters in 2020 (16%) are less likely than Clinton's in 2016 to express enthusiasm about the prospect of their own party winning. Instead, a larger portion of Biden supporters say they would feel relief if Biden wins the election: 77% said they would be relieved if Biden won the election in November. Similarly, those who strongly support him (93%) are about as disappointed as those who support him moderately (76% who expect him to win). Sources: 9

Trump's team also believes Trump can win over disaffected Sanders supporters who see Biden as a complete insider. Trump's team also believe he can win over disaffected Sanders supporters, many of whom see him as a complete insider, but they also believe that if he wins, he could win them over. Sources: 8

Trump's team also believes that Trump can win over disaffected Sanders supporters who see Biden as a complete insider, but they also believe he can win them over. Trump's team also believed Trump could win the hearts and minds of disaffected Sanders supporters, many of whom see him as the most accomplished insider. The New York Times, "Trump's" Team Trump, "believes Trump will win Sanders" supporters to the left of Biden, whom they see as Biden's "consummate" insider, and they believe he could do it if he wins. Sources: 8

When it comes to the opponent who wins the November election, Biden's supporters are more likely to express anger than Trump supporters. Biden supporters have a much higher anger toward Trump than supporters of Hillary Clinton did in September 2016. Sources: 9

Support for Biden is rather weak: 43% of registered voters who say they would vote for him if the presidential election were held today say they support him moderately. Support for Biden and Trump is evenly distributed, even though the unemployment rate has fallen below the 8 percent mark, which would normally be considered an unreasonably high number. Moreover, among Republicans, more independents view Trump as stronger than Biden. About as many Democrats as in September 2016 support the president and more Republicans than Biden. Sources: 2, 3, 9

The majority of registered voters who currently support either Biden or Trump (with the exception of those who turn to another candidate) are limited in their choice. Among that bloc, Biden leads by a wide margin, 52% to 39%, ahead of Trump with 30% and Jorgensen with 10%. Trump leads Biden among independent groups that vote for both Biden and Trump, while Jordensen accounts for 5% and Jogensen for 3%. Sources: 2, 4, 9

Trump has an implicit likelihood of winning by just 2.5%, down from 3.2% in June and 4.1% last month. Sources: 10

Biden has his second-largest lead over Trump, which was established at the end of February, according to the national average by FiveThirtyEight. Biden is supported by 50 percent of voters, according to the poll, while only 41 percent support Trump. It also shows a big lead for Biden, which is similar to Trump's previous victories in the state against Clinton. According to the national poll by Five ThirtyEight, he has a 2.5-point lead over Clinton, his third-largest lead on the campaign trail this year. Sources: 1, 5, 10

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